Since Super Tuesday, Illinois senator Barrack Obama has won 10 contests in a row. Now, Barrack Obama, not Hillary Clinton, is the Democratic frontrunner. Now, Obama leads Clinton in the delegate count, 1303 to 1233, nearly a 100 delegate margin. How could this have happened? For months, Hillary Clinton was the frontrunner. This is the first time Obama has been the frontrunner since the Iowa caucus. Ever since, Obama and Clinton battled delegate for delegate across the nation. Gut now, Obama has the upper hand and the momentum going into primaries in Ohio and Texas on March 4th.
Hillary Clinton's campaign must be getting nervous. They haven't won a state since Super Tuesday. Also, Obama is cutting into areas where Clinton built most of her support from: people over 50, whites (both men and women), low income workers-under $40,000 a year, and even Latinos. Also, Obama now seems to be “more elect able” by far compared to Hillary Clinton; almost a 2:1 ratio. He also has a strong lead in “most likely to win in November”. The Clinton camp has gotten desperate enough to accuse Obama of plagiarism in his speeches-an irony considering that Clinton actually uses direct quotes from Obama's campaign, such as ”Yes we can.”
At this rate, Hillary Clinton must win both Ohio and Texas if she wants to remain a viable candidate for the Democratic nomination. That's why she's making her last stand in those two states, offering around 250 delegates combined. If she manages to win both by a 55-45 or so margin, she will slim Obama's lead close enough that the Democratic nominee won't be decided until the convention. However, if Obama wins one, or both of the states by 55-45, then he will be able to expand his lead to about 150 delegates-a strong lead in this historic battle. Previously, Clinton was leading by double-digits in both states-some good news for once. However, Obama has been chipping away at leads in both states, and now they are roughly even. Clinton is counting on the Latino vote in Texas to win her at least one primary and make up for it by winning Pennsylvania on April 22nd, but it seems like it's very possible that she will lose Ohio. Just look at Wisconsin. Wisconsin's demographics are rather similar to those of Ohio, giving us some insight into the outcome in Ohio. Obama won the state by about 56-44, not a good sign for Clinton. So now, the question is: Is it time to hit the panic button? And if so, how negative will the race get? Clinton has launched more and more negative ads against her opponent, but Obama just plays it cool. Clinton must think of a new strategy before it's too late to save her candidacy.
